The Mexpatriate

The Mexpatriate

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The Mexpatriate
The Mexpatriate
What does Canada's election mean for Mexico?

What does Canada's election mean for Mexico?

A look at the Mexico-Canada relationship in light of Carney's win

May 18, 2025
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The Mexpatriate
The Mexpatriate
What does Canada's election mean for Mexico?
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Welcome to The Mexpatriate.

In today’s newsletter, I take the plunge into the Mexico-Canada relationship and where it stands following Canada’s federal elections on April 28. As you’ll read below, Carney’s continuation in power brings some relief to Mexico’s government, but there are still many question marks.

Before diving in, a note on perhaps the biggest news item of the week: the negotiated surrender of 17 relatives of Joaquín “El Chapo” Guzmán (including his ex-wife Griselda López Pérez) at the San Ysidro crossing in Tijuana, apparently following a plea deal made with Ovidio Guzmán (son of El Chapo and Griselda, who is in prison in the U.S.). Independent reporter Luis Chaparro broke the story, and observed that “this act of getting his family to safety could be a sign that Los Chapitos might be losing the war in Sinaloa or that the war is going to get a lot worse.”

Mexico’s government says it wasn’t informed of the deal, and Sheinbaum noted pointedly on Wednesday, in reference to the Sinaloa Cartel’s FTO designation by the United States: “They say they don’t negotiate with terrorists.”

The April 28 victory of Prime Minister Mark Carney and the incumbent Liberal Party brought unusual levels of global attention to Canadian politics, as anything perceived to be Trump-induced does.

Trump himself couldn’t resist taking credit for the Conservative Party’s reversal of fortune, despite Pierre Poilievre’s ideological proximity to U.S. Republicans. “The Conservative that’s running is stupidly no friend of mine…” said Trump in a Fox News interview.

Thank you, Mr. Trump? (Mark Carney/X)

To read the rest of this edition and support my work, you can upgrade to a paid subscription (for US $6/month or US $50/year).

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